21-22

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sat Dec 18, 2021

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>The primary avalanche concern today is triggering a slide in a wind drift of recent snow. With multiple rounds of strong winds and snowfall over the last week, avalanches could break anywhere from 6 inches to 4 ft deep and may even break on slopes that haven’t been wind-loaded.&nbsp;</p>

<p>This week, skiers and snowmobilers have triggered avalanches across the advisory area from the Bridger Range (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/25164"><strong><u>photos and details</u></strong></a>) down to near West Yellowstone (<a href="https://mtavalanche.com/images/21/avalanche-bacon-rind-photo-15-dec-202… Rind photo</u></strong></a>, <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PPHZEgnv4lM"><strong><u>Taylor Fork video</u></strong></a>). Now that snowfall has ended, triggering slides has become somewhat less likely, but remains a possibility.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Yesterday, Alex was at Two Top south of West Yellowstone (while outside of the advisory area it is near Lionhead and has a similar snowpack). He found a snowpack that appeared to have handled the 3 ft of new snow well, but was still cautious of deeper drifts (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=meRoJb4vCPk"><strong><u>video</u></stro…;

<p>You are less likely to see obvious signs of instability today, so if you’re planning on riding steeper slopes, dig to evaluate how well the new snow has bonded to the old and also look for deeper weak layers.</p>

<p>Skiers or riders triggering avalanches is possible today and the avalanche danger is MODERATE.</p>

<p>Near Cooke City, you could trigger an avalanche 1-3 ft deep in wind-drifted snow from the last week. On Wednesday, snowmobilers triggered a 75-100 ft wide slab near Goose lake (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/25168"><strong><u>details</u></strong>…;). Watch out for wind-loaded slopes and either avoid them or dig to make sure that the drifts are well bonded. Avalanches are unlikely on non-windloaded slopes.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>

<p>The avalanche danger is MODERATE on wind-loaded slopes and LOW on all others.</p>

<p>If you get out, please send us your observations no matter how brief. You can submit them via our <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation"><strong><u>websi…;, email (<a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com"><strong><u>mtavalanche@gmail.com</u></str…;), phone (406-587-6984), or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>

Upcoming Education Opportunities:

Get your avalanche brain ready for the season at one of the many classes listed on our education calendar, and list of upcoming events below. Don’t delay preparing and inspecting your avalanche gear. Get some tips from Dave Zinn in this Pre-Season gear check video.

Snowpack on Two Top Mtn. near Island Park, ID on 12/17/21. More than 3 feet of snow fell last week and it was right side up and generally stable. There is some weak snow and crusts near the ground, but we are not seeing signs that these layers are unstable yet. Photo: E. Knoff

Island Park, 2021-12-17

Snomo triggered small avalanche outside Cooke City

Goose Lake
Cooke City
Code
SS-AMu-R1-O
Latitude
45.11530
Longitude
-109.91400
Notes

A sledder triggered an avalanche on a wind-loaded slope near Goose Lake. It was maybe 75-100 feet wide but only slid 3 feet before arresting. It was on a low-angled slope and failed on facets on a rocky band. They triggered it as they were sidehilling and rode off the slab . Doug interviewed the party in Cooke City.

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Snowmobile
Trigger Modifier
u-An unintentional release
R size
1
Bed Surface
O - Old snow
Problem Type
Wind-Drifted Snow
Vertical Fall
3ft
Slab Width
100.00ft
Weak Layer Grain type
Faceted Crystals
Slab Thickness units
centimeters
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year