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GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Mar 30, 2020

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>Yesterday a snowmobiler triggered a slide on Buck Ridge when he descended to help another stuck rider, nobody was caught (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/22593">photo and details</a></strong>). The slide broke a foot deep on the crust below last week’s snow. Several slides broke on this layer last week (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/20/skier-triggered-slide-hyalite"><s…;, </strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/20/two-natural-avalanches-beehive-ba…;, </strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/weather/wx-avalanche-log"><strong>weather and avalanche log</strong></a>). Over the weekend we received reports of consistent unstable test scores on this layer, including our own findings in Taylor Fork and Lionhead (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZkyjbN1sWl0&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvSbcbVf…;). Today avalanches are possible to trigger, breaking above and sliding on the crust 1-2 feet deep. Dig down a couple feet to assess snow stability. Avoid steep slopes where you find a slab of snow sitting on top of a crust.</p>

<p>Yesterday’s sun and warm temperatures caused small wet loose avalanches and cornice fall triggered avalanches. We got reports of these in the northern Bridger Range (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/20/natural-cornice-fall-fairy-lake">…;) and Hyalite (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/20/natural-cornice-triggered-avalanc…;). Today warm temperatures and some sun make wet avalanches and cornice falls possible. Avoid steep slopes where the snow surface gets moist or wet, and be cautious of steep, rocky terrain above you where natural wet avalanches might initiate (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/20/point-release-avalanches-east-fac…;). Cornices can break further back than expected, and possibly trigger large avalanches. Stay far back from cornices along ridgelines and avoid slopes directly below (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/20/huge-cornices-lionhead-ridge"><st…;).</p>

<p>Areas that received a few inches of snow last night are forecast to be cloudier with more snow this afternoon. I expect minimal wet snow there, but even brief clear skies will make wet slides possible. Increasing wind and possibly more snow this afternoon will form fresh drifts. Avoid these slabs which may be large enough to bury a person or can push you into hazards like trees, rocks or over cliffs.</p>

<p>Today heightened avalanche conditions exist and avalanches are possible. Carefully evaluate the snowpack and make conservative choices. Avalanche danger is rated MODERATE.</p>

<p>We plan to end daily avalanche forecasts on Sunday, April 5<sup>th</sup> and continue with general bulletins every Monday and Friday through April. We have taken down most weather stations and will no longer receive observations from guides and ski patrol. We need help gathering field data. Please send us your observations no matter how brief. You can fill out an <a href="https://mtavalanche.us17.list-manage.com/track/click?u=6653a830e4819c9e…; target="_blank">observation form</a>, email us (<a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com&quot; target="_blank">mtavalanche@gmail.com</a>), leave a VM at 406-587-6984, or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>

Backcountry Skiing and Stay-at-home Directive

Please consider mellower terrain and lowering your risk to reduce potential for a needed rescue. Also, consider that the distraction of current events may cloud our judgment which compromises our ability to safely attempt more challenging objectives. Take a step back. Ride Safe.