19-20
We intentionally triggered a small wind slab and cornice before committing to a north-facing line in Frazier Basin. Photo: GNFAC
GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Tue Mar 17, 2020
<p>The mountain ranges near West Yellowstone and Cooke City received 12-14” of new snow equal to 1.2-1.6” of <a href="https://www.nrcs.usda.gov/wps/portal/nrcs/detail/or/snow/?cid=nrcs142p2… water equivalent</a> (SWE) since Saturday. In Cooke City a snowmobiler triggered two slab avalanches on Sunday, the bigger of the two broke a foot deep and 100’ wide (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/22425">photos and details</a></strong>). Skiers saw many avalanches within the new snow (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/22427"><strong>details</strong></a>, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/20/natural-avalanche-upper-republic-…;). On Sunday, skiers near Hebgen Lake reported that the new snow avalanched in steep terrain with ski cuts (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/22443">details</a></strong>). The new snow is stabilizing but watch for and avoid areas where shooting cracks from your skis or sled indicate continued instability.</p>
<p>Increasing clouds should minimize the wet snow danger today. However, if the sun stays out as the day warms, the wet snow danger will rise and avalanches will be possible. If you observe natural activity or pinwheels on south-facing slopes, move to shadier north-facing aspects that hold dry snow.</p>
<p>The danger is rated MODERATE and human triggered avalanches are possible. Assess slopes for dry snow instability and watch for signs of snow surface warming if you are considering entering avalanche terrain today.</p>
<p>Saturday through Sunday night the mountains around Big Sky received 9” of new snow (0.9” SWE) with 4” (0.4” SWE) in the mountains around Bozeman. Yesterday in Frazier Basin, we observed six wet, loose avalanches and intentionally triggered a small cornice and wind slab before committing to our ski objective (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4RMSu675sjM&list=PLXu5151nmAvSbcbVf…;). On Sunday in Middle Basin, Doug tested the new snow and found it was bonding well at the interface (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FVd85tHEySQ&list=PLXu5151nmAvSbcbVf…;, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/20/snowpit-beehive"><strong>photo</s…;). Nearby on the same day, the Big Sky Ski Patrol was dealing with fresh drifting and rapid cornice growth. Without new loading, the drifts that avalanched the last two days will stabilize, but I don’t trust them yet. Avoid or test fresh pillows of snow as human triggered avalanches are possible in these areas.</p>
<p>Increasing clouds should minimize the wet snow danger today. However, conditions change rapidly this time of year. If you observe natural activity or pinwheels on south-facing slopes, move to shadier north-facing aspects that hold dry snow.</p>
<p>The avalanche danger is MODERATE on wind loaded slopes and solar aspects <em>if</em> the sun stays out. The danger is LOW everywhere else. Avoid wind loaded starting zones and watch for signs of snow surface warming as signs of instability if you are considering entering avalanche terrain today.</p>
<p>If you get out, please send us your observations no matter how brief. You can fill out an <a href="https://mtavalanche.us17.list-manage.com/track/click?u=6653a830e4819c9e…; target="_blank">observation form</a>, email us (<a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com" target="_blank">mtavalanche@gmail.com</a>), leave a VM at 406-587-6984, or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>
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Ski Cuts - New Snow Avalanches near Hebgen Lake
The steeps were inclined to move cohesively when ski cut , but no natural movement. Pretty good skiing, but greenhouse clouds warmed up the surface in the afternoon.
Natural Wet, Loose Avalanches Bridgers
We observed 7 wet, loose snow avalanches today in the Northern Bridger Range. All avalanches were in the R1, D1-1.5 size range. They would be consequential in the steep, technical terrain where they occurred.
Natural Avalanche Upper Republic Creek
A small slab avalanche in the upper valley. A northeast as aspect round 10,000'.
Also, there appeared to quite a bit more (thin) storm slab activity that occurred up Republic Creek yesterday (both east and west aspects). I'd hypothesize that most of the slides that ran yesterday, were on the density change within the new snow.
Small slab avalanche in the upper Republic Valley, a northeast aspect around 10,000'. Photo: B Fredlund
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Tue Mar 17, 2020
Natural Cornice break and wet loose in Alex Lowe Basin
From the Blackmore/Elephant saddle I observed what looked to be a less than a day old cornice break which triggered a loose wet slide in front of it. The cornice debris was large, about the size of a VW beetle. Also observed some surface hoar on the north side of the saddle.
From the Blackmore/Elephant saddle, I observed what looked to be a less than a day old cornice break which triggered a loose wet slide in front of it. The cornice debris was large, about the size of a VW beetle. I also observed some surface hoar on the north side of the saddle. Photo: B. Gordon
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Tue Mar 17, 2020