19-20
Snowmobile triggered avalanche near Lulu Pass. Photo: Anonymous
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Tue Mar 17, 2020
Snowmobile triggered avalanche near Lulu Pass. Photo: Anonymous
GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Mar 16, 2020
<p>Yesterday’s storm favored the mountains near West Yellowstone and Cooke City with 12-14” of new snow equal to 1.2-1.6” of <u><a href="https://www.nrcs.usda.gov/wps/portal/nrcs/detail/or/snow/?cid=nrcs142p2… water equivalent</a></u> (SWE). The mountains near Big Sky got 9” equal to 0.9” SWE. In Hyalite and the Bridger Range a cold east wind limited snowfall to 4” (0.4” SWE). Yesterday near Cooke City skiers reported widespread natural slab avalanches breaking 6-12” deep within the storm snow (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/20/new-snow-slabs-avalanches-near-co…;, <strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/22427">details</a></strong>), and a snowmobiler triggered a slide a foot deep and a hundred feet wide (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/22425">details</a></strong>). Doug skied in Beehive Basin and saw minimal wind loading and the new snow was bonding well (<strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FVd85tHEySQ&list=PLXu5151nmAvSbcbVf…;, <strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/20/snowpit-beehive">photo</a></stron…;). Today the stability of the recent snow will be subject to change due to possible intense sunshine and near freezing temperatures. Where the snow surface gets wet loose snow and slab avalanches will become easy to trigger and could run long distances.</p>
<p>Anticipate decreasing stability on slopes that receive direct sun. Plan to be off of and out from underneath steep sun-exposed slopes before you see signs of instability like roller balls or natural loose snow avalanches. Ride on slopes that are sheltered from the sun and have a dry snow surface. Before riding steep slopes carefully assess the stability of the new snow by doing a stability test or watch for cracking of the snow surface or slides on small test slopes.</p>
<p>Wind is light and fresh drifts are not widespread, but remain cautious of slopes where slabs formed from east and southwest wind yesterday. Cornices get closer to breaking each day with weight from new snow or decreased strength from warmth and sunshine (<u><strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/20/huge-cornices-cooke-city">photo</…;). Stay far back from the edge of ridgelines and avoid slopes directly below large cornices.</p>
<p>Today recent snow makes avalanches possible and avalanche danger is MODERATE. Although many places are becoming deserted, the backcountry stays full of skiers and riders. Be on the lookout for each other. Stay diligent with snowpack and terrain assessment, and take precautions for avalanches like you did all winter. Ride Safe.</p>
<p>If you get out, please send us your observations no matter how brief. You can fill out an <u><a href="https://mtavalanche.us17.list-manage.com/track/click?u=6653a830e4819c9e…; target="_blank">observation form</a></u>, email us (<u><a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com" target="_blank">mtavalanche@gmail.com</a></u>), leave a VM at 406-587-6984, or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>
Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events
Our education calendar is full of awareness lectures and field courses. Check it out and plan to attend one or two: Events and Education Calendar.
Natural new snow slab avalanches, Cooke
From e-mail on 3/15/20: "At around 1230pm today, everything that was steeper than 35 degrees in star Creek simultaneously slid on east, north, south aspects. Soft slab 6-12" in thickness. Prior to that, it had been snowing S5 for three hours"
Another email 3/15/20: " observed a round of natural s slab avalanches today, that seemed to run at about noon today on the north aspects of Mt. Republic. One was a couple hundred feet wide, and looked to happen within the new snow (6"? deep crown), but it stepped down to what appeared to be the new/old snow interface in a couple of spots as well. Significantly wide pro propagation d deep debris piles. The snow on Town Hill was cracking a lot early in the day around your skis, but seemed to settle relatively quickly,
From e-mail on 3/15/20: "At around 1230pm today, everything that was steeper than 35 degrees in star Creek simultaneously slid on east, north, south aspects. Soft slab 6-12" in thickness. Prior to that, it had been snowing S5 for three hours." Photo: B. Zavora
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Mar 16, 2020GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Tue Mar 17, 2020
Snowmobiler triggred slide near Lulu Pass, Cooke City
Doug talked on the phone with a snowmobiler who triggered a slide outside Cooke City today (3/15/2020). The details:
- It occurred somewhere between Round Lake and Lulu Pass, likely nearer to Lulu.
- It was snowing hard most of the day and they had poor visibility.
- The slide was triggered by 1 sledder. He was not caught.
- The avalanche broke 1 foot deep and 100 feet wide. It was believed to be new snow, but not wind-loaded.